| Monday, June 21 |
| 6:00 p.m. | Reception, Birch Aquarium. Symposium keynote address: What do we know about Climate forecasting and what should we know for national security?(Dr. Walter Munk)
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Tuesday, June 22
|
| 8.00 a.m. | Conference Registration at Scripps Seaside Forum.
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| 8:45 a.m. | Symposium Opening Remarks (Dr. Tony Haymet)
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Symposium Segment 1
| Physical climate impacts (precipitation, temperature, sea level rise, glacier/snowpack, vector disease) for selected Pacific Rim regions by decade
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| 9:00 a.m.
| Advances in climate modeling: Key challenges in the projections and predictability of global climate change (NOAA/GFDL Ramaswamy)
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| 10:00 a.m. | Climate of Asia in 2035, with focus on Pacific Rim cities, Yangtze
River Basin and land degradation in Asia (Dr. Zhang Xiao Quan, Dr. Ming
Xu, and David Pierce)
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| 11:00 a.m. | U.S. national security implications in the Asia Pacific of the major ice-melt scenarios, Himalayan glaciers (Ambassador Ken Yallowitz, Dr. Helen Fricker)
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| 12:00 p.m. | Lunch. at Scripps Seaside forum with featured speaker. Department of Defense view on Climate Change national security implications and how the University can help (Deputy Assistant Secretary Amanda Dory)
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Symposium Segment 2
| National Security Impacts: human response to physical cahnges, potential for conflict, implications for DOD, State, USAID
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2:00 p.m.
| Climate change impacts on regional security and operations in the Pacific Command, Indonesian impacts (National Intelligence Office Rich Engel and Ambassador Cameron Hume, Dr. Vicky Pope) |
| 3:00 p.m.
| Coupling behavioral models with climate models (Anthony Janetos, Joshua Graff Zivin)
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4:00 p.m.
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Conflict from natural resource shortages/disease vectors, special emphasis on water (Sherri Goodman, Antonia Yulo Loyzaga, DOE DAS Rick Duke)
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Wednesday, June 23
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Symposium Segment 3
| Ensuring Better Forecasts
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9:00 a.m.
| Specific Improvements needed for better forecasting: in observation systems with international support, in atmospheric models, in ocean models as context for regional forecasting, the role of testing climate models with observations, decision making under uncertainty (Admiral Conrad Lautenbacher, Dr. Julie McClean, Dr. Jay Gulledge, Dr. Bruce Cournelle) |
| 10:00 a.m | What is the way forward for climate data, modeling, forecasting supercomputing capacity, projecting policy, analyzing security implications? (OSTP Sheere Abbott, Dr. Dan Cayan, Dr. John Orcutt)
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11:30 a.m.
| Wrap-Up Discussion and Closing Remarks (Reno Harnish)
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